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risk_structure

Energy Savings Insurance (ESI) for private energy efficiency investments by Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SMEs)

risk_idcanonical_project_idfinancing_component_idrisk_typerisk_bearerrisk_severitymitigation_mechanismmitigation_instrument_idresidual_risk_level
GCF_FP009_RISK_001GCF_FP009Technical and operationalBANDESAL, IDB (project implementing entities); energy users, ESTPs, LFIs, and insurance companies in El SalvadorHigh impact (>20% of project value), Low probabilityExtensive stakeholder engagement and market analysis to confirm interest; socialisation of each mechanism with relevant actors for feedback; standardization and simplification of documentation/procedures to minimize transaction costs; seed finance for pilot projects to demonstrate viability of the ESI concept; leveraging experience from similar projects in Mexico and Colombia.Low
GCF_FP009_RISK_002GCF_FP009Technical and operationalLocal Financial Institutions (LFIs); BANDESAL (project)High impact (>20% of project value), Low probabilityLFIs gain direct experience with EE investments using loan resources and risk-sharing mechanisms (performance contract, ESI insurance, independent validator) to experience actual risks; outsourcing of technical due diligence to independent validator replaces lack of internal LFI capacity; concessional financing provides temporary incentive for LFIs to maintain lending rates at same level as traditional investments; demonstration effect expected to lead LFIs to finance EE from own resources after project end.Low
GCF_FP009_RISK_003GCF_FP009Technical and operationalInvesting firms (SMEs) and Local Financial Institutions (LFIs)High impact (>20% of project value), Medium probabilityThree project mechanisms work together: (1) outsourcing of technical due diligence to an independent validator who assesses ESTP capacity, project quality, and verifies energy savings; (2) capacity building for BANDESAL and LFIs to assess real credit risks of EE technologies under the project mechanisms; (3) awareness-raising and marketing events for investing firms on technologies, risk mitigation value of standard contract, validation, and insurance.Low
GCF_FP009_RISK_004GCF_FP009ImplementationBANDESAL (implementing partner)High impact (>20% of project value), Medium probabilityPackage of technical assistance including continuous support for overall coordination and integration of the Project into BANDESAL operations; continued engagement between IDB and the executing entity to ensure ownership at management and technical levels; establishment of a focal point within BANDESAL with a decision-making mandate.Low
GCF_FP009_RISK_005GCF_FP009PoliticalGovernment of El Salvador; BANDESALHigh impact (>20% of project value), Low probabilityContinuous and constructive engagement with government authorities; BANDESAL with IDB support engages key government stakeholders to ensure intervention is aligned with government priorities and demand-driven; high energy costs for the private sector in El Salvador are expected to keep energy savings a national priority.Low

Field Evidence

risk_typeconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Technical and operational

risk_bearerconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

BANDESAL, IDB (project implementing entities); energy users, ESTPs, LFIs, and insurance companies in El Salvador

risk_severityconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

High impact (>20% of project value), Low probability

mitigation_mechanismconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Extensive stakeholder engagement and market analysis to confirm interest; socialisation of each mechanism with relevant actors for feedback; standardization and simplification of documentation/procedures to minimize transaction costs; seed finance for pilot projects to demonstrate viability of the ESI concept; leveraging experience from similar projects in Mexico and Colombia.

residual_risk_levelconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

Low

risk_typeconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Technical and operational

risk_bearerconfidence: 0.85method: pdf_text

Local Financial Institutions (LFIs); BANDESAL (project)

risk_severityconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

High impact (>20% of project value), Low probability

mitigation_mechanismconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

LFIs gain direct experience with EE investments using loan resources and risk-sharing mechanisms (performance contract, ESI insurance, independent validator) to experience actual risks; outsourcing of technical due diligence to independent validator replaces lack of internal LFI capacity; concessional financing provides temporary incentive for LFIs to maintain lending rates at same level as traditional investments; demonstration effect expected to lead LFIs to finance EE from own resources after project end.

residual_risk_levelconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Low

risk_typeconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Technical and operational

risk_bearerconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

Investing firms (SMEs) and Local Financial Institutions (LFIs)

risk_severityconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

High impact (>20% of project value), Medium probability

mitigation_mechanismconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Three project mechanisms work together: (1) outsourcing of technical due diligence to an independent validator who assesses ESTP capacity, project quality, and verifies energy savings; (2) capacity building for BANDESAL and LFIs to assess real credit risks of EE technologies under the project mechanisms; (3) awareness-raising and marketing events for investing firms on technologies, risk mitigation value of standard contract, validation, and insurance.

residual_risk_levelconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

Low

risk_typeconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Implementation

risk_bearerconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

BANDESAL (implementing partner)

risk_severityconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

High impact (>20% of project value), Medium probability

mitigation_mechanismconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Package of technical assistance including continuous support for overall coordination and integration of the Project into BANDESAL operations; continued engagement between IDB and the executing entity to ensure ownership at management and technical levels; establishment of a focal point within BANDESAL with a decision-making mandate.

residual_risk_levelconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

Low

risk_typeconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Political

risk_bearerconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

Government of El Salvador; BANDESAL

risk_severityconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

High impact (>20% of project value), Low probability

mitigation_mechanismconfidence: 0.9method: pdf_text

Continuous and constructive engagement with government authorities; BANDESAL with IDB support engages key government stakeholders to ensure intervention is aligned with government priorities and demand-driven; high energy costs for the private sector in El Salvador are expected to keep energy savings a national priority.

residual_risk_levelconfidence: 0.95method: pdf_text

Low